Assume that MGM produces a film during early 2012 at a cost of $200 million, and releases it halfway through the year. During the last half of 2012, the film earns revenues of $240 million at the box office. The film requires $80 million of advertising during the release. One year later, by the end of 2013, the film is expected to earn MGM net cash flows from home video sales of $50 million. By the end of 2014, the film is expected to earn MGM $25 million from pay TV; and by the end of 2015, the film is expected to earn $10 million from syndication.
a. Determine the net present value of the film as of the beginning of 2012 if the desired rate of return is 20%. To simplify present value calculations, assume all annual net cash flows occur at the end of each year. Use the table of the present value of $1 appearing in Exhibit 1 of this chapter. Round to the nearest whole million dollars.
b. Under the assumptions provided here, is the film expected to be financially successful